Publications

The ELEVATE project regularly communicates and disseminates its innovative results through continuous publications in scientific journals. This knowledge base serves as a public resource for direct access to these articles.

2025

Schöngart, S., Nicholls, Z., Hoffmann, R., Pelz, S., & Schleussner, C. F. (2025). High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide. Nature Climate Change, 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02325-x

Pedersen, J. T. S., Gomes, C., O’Rourke, P., van Vuuren, D., Gupta, J., Santos, F. D., & Swart, R. (2025). Science-policy: UNFCCC policymakers’ perspective of scientific scenarios and their policy relevance. npj Climate Action, 4(1), 52. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00250-5

Dekker, M. M., Hof, A. F., du Robiou Pont, Y., van den Berg, N., Daioglou, V., Den Elzen, M., van Heerden, R., Hooijschuur, E., Schmidt Tagomori, I., Wurschinger, C. & van Vuuren, D. P. (2025). Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets. Nature Climate Change, 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02361-7

Xie, J. J., Brutschin, E., Rogelj, J., & Staffell, I. (2025). Past socio-political transitions away from coal and gas show challenges and opportunities ahead. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/add0c6

den Elzen, M. G., Dafnomilis, I., Nascimento, L., Beusen, A., Forsell, N., Gubbels, J., Harmsen, M., Hooijschuur, E., Guitierrez, Z.A. & Kuramochi, T. (2025). Uncertainties around net‐zero climate targets have major impact on greenhouse gas emissions projections. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1544(1), 209-222. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15285

Ganti, G., Pelz, S., Klönne, U., Gidden, M. J., Schleussner, C. F., & Nicholls, Z. (2025). Fair carbon removal obligations under climate response uncertainty. Climate Policy, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2025.2481138

Pelz, S., Ganti, G., Lamboll, R., Grant, L., Smith, C., Pachauri, S., Rogelj, J., Riahi, K., Thiery, W. & Gidden, M. J. (2025). Using net-zero carbon debt to track climate overshoot responsibility. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122(13). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2409316122

Kikstra, J. S., Daioglou, V., Min, J., Sferra, F., Soergel, B., Kriegler, E., Lee, H., Mastrucci, A., Pachauri, S., Rao, N., Rauner, S., van Vuuren, D., Riahi, K., van Ruijven, B. & Rogelj, J. (2025). Closing decent living gaps in energy and emissions scenarios: introducing DESIRE. Environmental Research Letters, 20(5). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adc3ad

van Vuuren, D.P., Doelman, J.C., Schmidt Tagomori, I., Beusen, A. H. W., Cornell, S. E., Rockstrom, J., Schipper, A. M., Stehfest, E., Ambrioso, G., van den Berg, M., Bouwman, L., Daioglou, V., Harmsen, M., Lucas, P., van der Wijst, K., van Zeist, W. (2025) Exploring pathways for world development within planetary boundaries. Nature, 641. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-08928-w

Sovacool, B.K., Baum, C.M., Fritz, L., Low, S. (2025) Exploring global climate intervention experiments: sociotechnical promises, innovation dynamics, and perceived co-impacts across 20 projects and pilots. Sustain Sci., 20. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-025-01696-6

Low, S., Brutschin, E., Baum. C.M., Sovacool, B.K. (2025) Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling Nature Climate Action. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00218-5

Pelz, S., Ganti, G., Pachauri, S., Rogelj, J., Riahi, K. (2025) Entry points for assessing 'fair shares' in national mitigation contributions Environ. Res. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ada45f

2024

Edelenbosch, O. Y., Hof, A. F., van den Berg, M., de Boer, H. S., Chen, H. H., Daioglou, V., Dekker, M., Doelman, J.C., den Elzen, M.G.J, Harmsen, M., Mikropoulos, S., van Sluisveld, M.A.E., Stehfest, E., Schmidt Tagomori, I., van Zeist, W. & van Vuuren, D. P. (2024). Reducing sectoral hard-to-abate emissions to limit reliance on carbon dioxide removal. Nature Climate Change, 14(7), 715-722. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02025-y

Mohammadzadeh Valencia, F., Mohren, C., Ramakrishnan, A., Merchert, M., Minx, J., Steckel, J.C. (2024) Public support for carbon pricing policies and revenue recycling options: a systematic review and meta-analysis of the survey literature. npj Clim. Action, 3. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-024-00153-x

van Vuuren, D., Minx, J. C., Roy, J., Lamb, W. F., & van der Wijst, K. I. (2024). Routes to a Carbon-Free World. Frontiers for Young Minds, 12. (not peer reviewed, but reviewed by young readers) https://doi.org/10.3389/frym.2024.1395440

Baum, C.M., Fritz, L., Low, S. & Sovacool, B.K. (2024) Like diamonds in the sky? Public perceptions, governance, and information framing of solar geoengineering activities in Mexico, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Environmental Politics.

https://doi.org/10.1080/09644016.2023.2301262

Calcaterra, M., Aleluia Reis, Fragkos, P,, Briera, , de Boer, H.S., Egli, F., Emmerling, J. Iyer, G, Mittal, S., Polzin, F.H.J., Sanders, M.W.J.L., Schmidt, T.S. , Serebriakova, A., Steffen, B., van de Ven, D.J. van Vuuren, D.P., Waidelich, P., and Tavoni, M.(2024) Reducing the cost of capital to finance the energy transition in developing countries. Nature Energy. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-024-01606-7

Missbach, L., Steckel, J.C., Vogt-Schilb, A. (2024) Cash transfers in the context of carbon pricing reforms in Latin America and the Caribbean. World Development,
173. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106406

Nascimento, L., Godinho, C., Kuramochi, T., Moisio, M., den Elzen, M., Höhne, N. (2024) Climate policy in 2023. Nat Rev Earth Environ. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00541-1 (The publication can be accessed here)

Tavoni, M., Andreoni, P., Calcaterra, M., Calliari, E., Deubelli-Hwang, T., Mechler, R.m Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Wenz. L. (2024) Economic quantification of Loss and Damage funding needs. Nat Rev Earth Environ, 5(411–413). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00565-7

2023

Aleluia, L. & Tavoni, M. (2023) Glasgow to Paris - The impact of the Glasgow commitments for the Paris climate agreement. iScience, 26(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.105933

Manych, N., Müller-Hansen, F., & Steckel, J.C. (2023). The political economy of coal across 12 countries: Analysing qualitative interviews with topic models. Energy Research & Social Science, 101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2023.103137

Nascimento, L. & Höhne, N. (2023) Expanding climate policy adoption improves national mitigation efforts. npj Clim. Action, 2(12). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-023-00043-8

Nascimento, L., den Elzen, M., Kuramochi, T., Woollands, S., Dafnomilis, I., Moisio, M., Roelfsema, M., Forsell, N., & Araujo Guitierrez, Z. (2023) Comparing the Sequence of Climate Change Mitigation Targets and Policies in Major Emitting Economies. Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice. https://doi.org/10.1080/13876988.2023.2255151

Ordonez, J. A., Jakob, M., Steckel, J. C., & Ward, H. (2023). India's just energy transition: Political economy challenges across states and regions. Energy Policy, 179(C). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113621